SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Inter Miami |
44.08% ( -0.15) | 24.53% ( 0.04) | 31.38% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.24% ( -0.13) | 44.76% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.88% ( -0.12) | 67.12% ( 0.12) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( -0.12) | 20.41% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.15% ( -0.19) | 52.85% ( 0.19) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( 0.01) | 27.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( 0.01) | 62.54% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.38% |
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