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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 3
Apr 25, 2021 at 1am UK
Gillette Stadium
DU

New England
1 - 0
DC United

Hines-Ike (48' og.)
Ingvi Traustason (32'), Kaptoum (60'), Farrell (80'), Buksa (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Canouse (25'), Moreno (58'), Hines-Ike (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
61.66%20.56%17.78%
Both teams to score 55.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7%40.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32%62.68%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42%12.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.34%38.66%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88%36.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1%72.9%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 61.66%
    DC United 17.78%
    Draw 20.56%
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 9.42%
3-1 @ 6.87%
3-0 @ 6.75%
4-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-0 @ 3.5%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 61.66%
1-1 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-1 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.78%

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