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Major League Soccer
Mar 13, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
SJ
Philadelphia
2 - 0
Earthquakes
Burke (23'), Gazdag (58' pen.)
Santos (27'), Gazdag (43'), Harriel (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Espinoza (11'), Remedi (26'), Bouda (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

This encounter represents the first meeting between the sides since 2019, and with Philadelphia gaining confidence from a promising start to the season, we think that the hosts will remain unbeaten with a victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
53.2%24.31%22.49%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8%50.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84%72.16%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19%18.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76%50.24%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04%36.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25%73.75%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.19%
    San Jose Earthquakes 22.49%
    Draw 24.31%
Philadelphia UnionDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 53.19%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, February 26 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Sunday, December 5 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Nashville (2-0 pen.)
Sunday, November 28 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, November 20 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, November 7 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 5 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-3 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, February 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, November 7 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-4 Earthquakes
Saturday, October 30 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-0 Earthquakes
Thursday, October 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer

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