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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Oct 21, 2021 at 3am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
VW

Portland
2 - 3
Vancouver

Chara (15'), Asprilla (42')
Paredes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Caicedo (63'), White (75'), Dajome (82' pen.)
White (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
61.09%20.28%18.62%
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.41%37.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.18%59.82%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1%11.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76%37.23%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41%33.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77%70.22%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 61.09%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 18.62%
    Draw 20.28%
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 7.01%
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 3.73%
4-0 @ 3.42%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 5.39%
0-0 @ 4%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.28%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-1 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 18.62%

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