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Thursday, March 28
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 37
Sep 30, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
LG

Salt Lake
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Kreilach (45'), Julio (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (76')
DePuy (46')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
55.33%23.59%21.08%
Both teams to score 51.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16%48.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06%70.94%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5%17.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99%48.01%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42%37.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64%74.36%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 55.33%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 21.08%
    Draw 23.59%
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 11.46%
2-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.33%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.08%

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