Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Portland Timbers |
60.5% ( 0.37) | 21.07% ( -0.18) | 18.43% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.43% ( 0.54) | 41.57% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.03% ( 0.54) | 63.96% ( -0.54) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.68% ( 0.28) | 13.31% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.84% ( 0.56) | 40.16% ( -0.56) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% ( 0.12) | 36.15% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.07% ( 0.12) | 72.93% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.43% |
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