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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 16, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
RS

Earthquakes
3 - 4
Salt Lake

Lopez (26', 50', 65')
Judson (59'), Lopez (69'), Remedi (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rubin (45+2', 81'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (71')
Besler (8'), Rusnak (62'), Toia (65'), Ruiz (67'), Kreilach (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
49.74%23.99%26.27%
Both teams to score 56.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6%45.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27%67.73%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68%18.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59%49.41%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92%31.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59%67.4%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 49.74%
    Real Salt Lake 26.27%
    Draw 23.98%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.69%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.65%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.27%

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