SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | New England Revolution |
59.79% ( 0.19) | 20.65% ( -0.05) | 19.56% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.2% ( 0.03) | 37.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.96% ( 0.03) | 60.05% ( -0.03) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( 0.06) | 12.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.86% ( 0.13) | 38.14% ( -0.13) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( -0.12) | 32.76% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% ( -0.14) | 69.31% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 59.79% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.56% |
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