SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | DC United |
40.82% ( 0.08) | 24.33% ( 0.02) | 34.85% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.13) | 42.75% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.13) | 65.15% ( 0.13) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( -0.02) | 21.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.14% ( -0.03) | 53.86% ( 0.03) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.12) | 24.11% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -0.17) | 58.4% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.82% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.85% |
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