SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
46.6% ( -0.04) | 25% ( 0) | 28.39% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( 0) | 48.35% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0) | 70.49% ( -0) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( -0.02) | 20.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( -0.02) | 53.43% ( 0.03) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( 0.03) | 31.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( 0.03) | 67.33% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.39% |
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