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VW
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
MI

Vancouver
2 - 0
Montreal

Dajome (57' pen., 71')
Caicedo (32'), Veselinovic (38'), Cavallini (45'), Owusu (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mihailovic (24')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawCF Montreal
33.38%26.14%40.48%
Both teams to score 53.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83%51.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98%73.01%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08%24.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46%59.54%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 33.38%
    CF Montreal 40.47%
    Draw 26.14%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.47%

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