Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.