Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrenpoint Town win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrenpoint Town would win this match.