Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
