Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.64%) and 1-3 (6.44%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.