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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
BL

Arsenal
1 - 2
Brighton

Odegaard (89')
Odegaard (39'), Saka (50'), Sambi Lokonga (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trossard (29'), Mwepu (66')
Bissouma (35'), Gross (40'), Caicedo (52'), Sanchez (90+1')

We said: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Arsenal sure are under pressure to prove that their dire showing at Selhurst Park was just a one-off, and they could hardly have been handed a friendlier fixture to return to winning ways. Brighton's continued struggles in front of goal are showing no signs of letting up anytime soon, and even with their recent injury blows, Arsenal's young guns should prevail comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
53.98%23.78%22.23%
Both teams to score 52.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69%48.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54%70.46%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19%17.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.47%48.53%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85%36.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07%72.93%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 53.98%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 22.23%
    Draw 23.78%
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 9.58%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 6.55%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 16 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Leicester
Sunday, March 13 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Arsenal
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Thursday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Spurs
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Burnley
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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