SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
69.79% ( -0.04) | 17.75% ( 0.01) | 12.46% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.53% ( 0.01) | 38.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.24% ( 0.01) | 60.77% ( -0.01) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.09% ( -0.01) | 9.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.17% ( -0.02) | 32.83% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.05) | 42.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.51% ( 0.04) | 78.49% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)Other @ 4.76% Total : 69.79% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.75% | 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 12.46% |
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