MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 18:09:47
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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Jul 1, 2020 at 6pm UK
Emirates Stadium
NL

Arsenal
4 - 0
Norwich

Aubameyang (33', 67'), Xhaka (37'), Soares (81')
Martinez (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McLean (27'), Rupp (31'), Vrancic (86'), Stiepermann (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawNorwich City
58.15%21.04%20.8%
Both teams to score 59.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15%37.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.89%60.11%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18%12.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85%39.15%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41%31.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01%68%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 58.16%
    Norwich City 20.8%
    Draw 21.05%
ArsenalDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 8.55%
1-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.85%
3-2 @ 3.88%
4-1 @ 3.46%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-1 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 20.8%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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