Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
