MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 20:48:03
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Thursday, March 28
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AV
Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2021 at 7pm UK
Villa Park
WB

Aston Villa
2 - 2
West Brom

El Ghazi (9' pen.), Pereira (23' pen.), Mings (47' og.), Davis (90+2')
Gallagher (54'), Yokuslu (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWest Bromwich Albion
47.03%25.9%27.07%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2%52.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57%74.43%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56%22.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.03%55.97%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62%34.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91%71.09%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 47.02%
    West Bromwich Albion 27.07%
    Draw 25.89%
Aston VillaDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.07%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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