Aston Villa
2 - 2
West Brom

El Ghazi (9' pen.), Pereira (23' pen.), Mings (47' og.), Davis (90+2')
Gallagher (54'), Yokuslu (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
47.03%	25.9%	27.07%

Both teams to score 50.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2%

52.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57%

74.43%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56%

22.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03%

55.97%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62%

34.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91%

71.09%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 47.02%

West Bromwich Albion 27.07%

Draw 25.89%

Aston Villa	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.15% Total : 47.02%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.07%