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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
SL

Brighton
3 - 1
Southampton

Ferguson (29', 40'), Gross (69')
Veltman (71'), Buonanotte (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elyounoussi (58')
Bednarek (14'), Alcaraz (34'), Elyounoussi (43'), Ward-Prowse (64'), Bree (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
Thursday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
71.85% (-0.197 -0.2) 17.43% (0.168 0.17) 10.72% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.32% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.705 -0.7)41.79% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.714 -0.71)64.2% (0.71299999999999 0.71)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (-0.236 -0.24)10.29% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (-0.539 -0.54)33.69% (0.538 0.54)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.413 -0.41)47.25% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.32% (-0.314 -0.31)82.68% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 71.84%
    Southampton 10.72%
    Draw 17.43%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 12.57% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 9.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 71.84%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.43%
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 10.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
Thursday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Brighton
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-5 Everton
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Man Utd
Thursday, May 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-1 Brighton
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 4-3 Southampton
Monday, May 8 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League


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