SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton |
71.85% ( -0.2) | 17.43% ( 0.17) | 10.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( -0.7) | 41.79% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( -0.71) | 64.2% ( 0.71) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.71% ( -0.24) | 10.29% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.54) | 33.69% ( 0.54) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.41) | 47.25% ( 0.41) |
