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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
BL

Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

Wood (44')
Brownhill (5'), Bardsley (85'), Pieters (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bissouma (20'), Connolly (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
34.66%26.45%38.89%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.95%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.38%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 34.66%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 38.89%
    Draw 26.45%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.89%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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