Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
