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Friday, August 19

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Burnley 1-0 Newcastle United

At any other stage of the season it might be difficult to back a Burnley win here, but the result is so much more important to the hosts than it is to Newcastle, and that could make the difference in a game of fine margins. Burnley are also in good form at home, whereas Newcastle's away form has been poor of late, so we are backing the home side to pick up the win they need to stay in the Premier League for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawNewcastle United
43.47% (-0.105 -0.1) 25.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 30.98% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.073 -0.07)49.4% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)71.44% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)22.65% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-0.12 -0.12)56.28% (0.122 0.12)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (0.019000000000005 0.02)29.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.78% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 43.47%
    Newcastle United 30.98%
    Draw 25.54%
BurnleyDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 10% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.47%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.98%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Wolves
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Southampton
Thursday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Monday, May 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Newcastle
Sunday, May 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Leicester
Sunday, April 17 at 2.15pm in Premier League
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