MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 18:31:52
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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
MC

Chelsea
1 - 3
Man City

Hudson-Odoi (90+2')
Pulisic (45+1'), Kante (53'), Kovacic (71')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gundogan (18'), Foden (21'), De Bruyne (34')
Silva (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawManchester City
28.14%24.6%47.26%
Both teams to score 55.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24%46.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98%69.02%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62%30.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42%66.58%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14%19.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03%51.97%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 28.14%
    Manchester City 47.26%
    Draw 24.6%
ChelseaDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 7.19%
2-1 @ 6.92%
2-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 7.88%
1-3 @ 5.06%
0-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.05%
0-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.26%

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