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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Jul 7, 2020 at 6pm UK
Selhurst Park
CL

Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Chelsea

Zaha (34'), Benteke (72')
Milivojevic (35')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Giroud (6'), Pulisic (27'), Abraham (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawChelsea
16.8%21.53%61.66%
Both teams to score 50.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64%46.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35%68.64%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09%40.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52%77.47%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49%14.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49%42.51%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 16.8%
    Chelsea 61.65%
    Draw 21.53%
Crystal PalaceDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 5.3%
2-1 @ 4.58%
2-0 @ 2.37%
3-1 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.8%
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 11.45%
0-2 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 6.36%
0-4 @ 3.44%
1-4 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.84%
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-5 @ 1.33%
1-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.65%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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