Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
