Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.