Everton have enjoyed a spate of triumphs against Chelsea at Goodison Park in recent times and have also proven themselves to be a tough nut to crack at home - seemingly a list of perfect ingredients for Lampard's recipe for success against his old club.
While the Toffees should put up a good fight as they fight to stay alive, Chelsea should have come away from the clash with Man United with more than one point to their name and should have no trouble keeping out their upcoming hosts on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
