We said: Everton 1-2 Manchester United
Everton certainly have a result in them at Goodison Park, and they will fancy their chances of causing a damaged Man United team problems on Saturday. That said, Ronaldo's return will boost the Red Devils, and we are expecting a very tight match to swing the way of the 20-time English champions, further deepening Everton's relegation fears at a key period of the campaign.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
