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FL
Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
NF

Fulham
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Willian (17'), Solomon (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aurier (15')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-3 Fulham
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawNottingham Forest
55.11% (0.137 0.14) 23.19% (-0.026 -0.03) 21.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.63% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)46.43% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.040999999999997 0.04)16.71% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07)46.61% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.117 -0.12)35.61% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (-0.122 -0.12)72.38% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 55.11%
    Nottingham Forest 21.69%
    Draw 23.19%
FulhamDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 2-3 Fulham
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Fulham
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Spurs
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Fulham
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Chelsea
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Leeds
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Leicester
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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