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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
BL

Leeds
2 - 2
Brentford

Roberts (27'), Bamford (90+5')
Roberts (29'), Harrison (75'), Klich (79'), Raphinha (85'), Bamford (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baptiste (54'), Canos (61')
Goode (45+2'), Canos (55'), Henry (80')

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Brentford

There is still a lot of football to be played this season, but Sunday's clash at Elland Road is a very important match for both sides. It would not be a surprise to see an away win or a draw, but we just have a feeling that Bamford could return to inspire Leeds to a narrow victory over Frank's team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrentford
45.05%26.01%28.94%
Both teams to score 51.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78%52.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07%73.93%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89%23.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04%56.97%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37%32.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.17%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 45.05%
    Brentford 28.94%
    Draw 26.01%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.94%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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