Man City should expect a hostile atmosphere from the Elland Road faithful and a tougher test this time around against a resurgent Leeds side, who could play a significant role in both the title race and relegation battle if they were to claim all three points on Saturday.
However, the Citizens still seem too strong for the Whites and should have enough quality in their side to win comfortably, even if one or two star names are rotated.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 7.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.46%) and 0-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
