Leicester
4 - 0
Newcastle

Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leicester City 3-2 Newcastle United

Both teams are far stronger in attack than they are defence, and that should only lead to an entertaining fixture at the King Power Stadium. While we expect the Magpies to lead at some stage, the Foxes have the firepower to edge this contest in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
62.3%	21.79%	15.9%

Both teams to score 47.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01%

48.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93%

71.07%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83%

15.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.23%

43.77%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.36%

43.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.17%

79.82%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 62.3%

Newcastle United 15.9%

Draw 21.79%

Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.21% Total : 62.3%	1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.9%