Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match.
