Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 80.6%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.66%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
