MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 19:54:07
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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jan 20, 2021 at 6pm UK
Etihad Stadium
AV

Man City
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGinn (67'), Taylor (86'), Smith (81')
Smith (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
78.02%13.43%8.55%
Both teams to score 54.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.23%28.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.3%49.7%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.1%5.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.39%22.61%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57%42.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2%78.8%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 78.02%
    Aston Villa 8.55%
    Draw 13.43%
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.03%
3-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 8.12%
1-0 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 6.7%
4-1 @ 5.74%
5-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.48%
5-1 @ 3.25%
4-2 @ 2.46%
6-0 @ 1.79%
6-1 @ 1.53%
5-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 78.02%
1-1 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 3.69%
0-0 @ 2.5%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.43%
1-2 @ 2.61%
0-1 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.05%
0-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 8.55%

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