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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
67.25% (0.0040000000000049 0) 18.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 14.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.17% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.45% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45%36.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.34%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 67.25%
    Aston Villa 14.64%
    Draw 18.11%
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.08%
5-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 67.25%
1-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.11%
1-2 @ 4.15%
0-1 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.64%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Man City
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-5 Man City
Wednesday, May 11 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Newcastle
Sunday, May 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Man City
Wednesday, May 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Leeds 0-4 Man City
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool
Tuesday, May 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
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