Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
|Manchester City||Draw||Aston Villa|
|67.25% ( 0)||18.11% ( -0)||14.64% ( -0)|
|Both teams to score 57.39% ( 0)|
|Over 2.5||Under 2.5|