We said: Manchester City 2-0 Leeds United
With multiple absentees to contend with and a penchant for conceding goals away from home, this clash is only expected to end in one way for Leeds and Bielsa.
Guardiola will pay his opposite number the respect that he deserves, but a refreshed City side should continue to dominate at home with maximum points on Tuesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.94%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
