SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 5.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.3%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | West Ham United |
83.04% ( 2.74) | 11.27% ( -1.64) | 5.69% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.27% ( 3.79) | 29.73% ( -3.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.14% ( 4.46) | 50.86% ( -4.45) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.79% ( 1.26) | 5.21% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.38% ( 3.55) | 20.62% ( -3.54) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.21% ( -0.37) | 50.79% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.8% ( -0.25) | 85.2% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.76)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.54)1-0 @ 7.82% ( -1.1)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.46)5-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.78)5-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.53)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.14)6-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.35)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.16)7-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.28)Other @ 3.54% Total : 83.03% | 1-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.61)Other @ 0.67% Total : 11.27% | 1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.69% |
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