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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
EL

Man Utd
3 - 3
Everton

Cavani (24'), Fernandes (45'), McTominay (70')
Shaw (73'), Tuanzebe (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Doucoure (49'), Rodriguez (52'), Calvert-Lewin (90+5')
Keane (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawEverton
54.6%22.83%22.57%
Both teams to score 56.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16%43.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77%66.23%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03%15.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74%45.26%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65%33.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03%69.97%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 54.6%
    Everton 22.57%
    Draw 22.82%
Manchester UnitedDrawEverton
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.76%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 1.01%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 5.4%
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-1 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.57%

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