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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Jun 24, 2020 at 6pm UK
St. James' Park
AV

Newcastle
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Gayle (68')
Lascelles (59'), Fernandez (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elmohamady (83')
Luiz (45+1'), Hause (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
41.11%26.54%32.36%
Both teams to score 51.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.97%53.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38%74.62%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57%25.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75%60.25%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39%30.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15%66.85%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.1%
    Aston Villa 32.36%
    Draw 26.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.36%


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