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NL
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
St James' Park
CP

Newcastle
1 - 2
Crystal Palace

Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
37.48%27.49%35.03%
Both teams to score 49.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97%29.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07%64.93%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.76%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37.47%
    Crystal Palace 35.02%
    Draw 27.49%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.02%

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