Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
