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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
AV

Spurs
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Hojbjerg (27'), Targett (71' og.)
Skipp (36'), Romero (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Watkins (67')
Ramsey (31')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawAston Villa
54.55%24.81%20.64%
Both teams to score 47.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9%54.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48%75.53%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21%19.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16%51.85%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41%77.59%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 54.54%
    Aston Villa 20.64%
    Draw 24.8%
Tottenham HotspurDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 13.15%
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 5.13%
4-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.54%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.64%

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