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May 15, 2022 at 12pm UK at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Spurs
1 - 0
Burnley
Kane (45+8' pen.)
Moura (49'), Lloris (86'), Kulusevski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (27'), Pope (45+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Burnley

Conte and his players have less than 72 hours to recover from the North London derby win, and the Italian is loath to alter a winning setup, but we can only envisage one result even with the hosts' fatigue in tow. Burnley could be working without their first-choice central defensive pairing and have experienced defeat after defeat on Spurs turf, so Conte's fired-up side should boost their Champions League hopes with a professional performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawBurnley
71.07% (-1.499 -1.5) 17.67% (0.819 0.82) 11.25% (0.683 0.68)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.447 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-1.871 -1.87)41.38% (1.875 1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-1.924 -1.92)63.77% (1.927 1.93)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)10.37% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.12% (-1.978 -1.98)33.88% (1.982 1.98)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)81.72% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 71.07%
    Burnley 11.25%
    Draw 17.67%
Tottenham HotspurDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 12.25% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 9.25% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-0 @ 5.24% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-1 @ 4.07% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.38% (-0.253 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 71.07%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.403 0.4)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.394 0.39)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17.67%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.307 0.31)
1-2 @ 3.26% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 11.25%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 3-0 Arsenal
Thursday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Spurs
Saturday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Leicester
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Spurs
Saturday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 16 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-4 Spurs
Saturday, April 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Wolves
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Southampton
Thursday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, April 17 at 2.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Burnley
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Premier League
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