Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Burnley |
71.07% ( -1.5) | 17.67% ( 0.82) | 11.25% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.62% ( -1.87) | 41.38% ( 1.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% ( -1.92) | 63.77% ( 1.93) |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.62% ( -0.86) | 10.37% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.12% ( -1.98) | 33.88% ( 1.98) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54% ( 0.02) | 46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.28% ( 0.01) | 81.72% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Burnley |
2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.16% Total : 71.07% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.67% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.25% |
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