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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Estádio Nacional
FL

Belenenses
1 - 2
Famalicao

Cassierra (42')
Phete (25'), Esgaio (36'), Varela (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Riccieli (52'), Valenzuela (55')
Assuncao (15'), Patrick (90+1'), Campana Romero (90+3'), Silva (90+4'), Pereyra (90+5')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Famalicao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
BelenensesDrawFamalicao
24.99%25.55%49.46%
Both teams to score 50.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1%52.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49%74.5%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04%72.96%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59%21.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59%54.4%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 24.99%
    Famalicao 49.45%
    Draw 25.54%
BelenensesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-1 @ 6.17%
2-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.61%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.99%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 11.93%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-2 @ 9.2%
1-3 @ 4.81%
0-3 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 49.45%


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