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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 24, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
VD

Famalicao
0 - 1
Guimaraes


Ugarte (68'), Pereyra (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Almeida (12')
Estupinan (16'), Almeida (55'), Fernandes (86'), Wakaso (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
20.25%24.56%55.19%
Both teams to score 47.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89%75.11%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83%41.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29%77.71%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66%19.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88%51.12%
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 20.25%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.18%
    Draw 24.56%
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-1 @ 5.15%
2-0 @ 3.14%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.25%
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 20.25%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 13.08%
0-2 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-3 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 5.22%
0-4 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 2.15%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 55.18%

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