Gil Vicente and Tondela will head into the game seeking a morale-boosting result having both struggled for form in recent weeks. While the visitors need a win to keep their survival hopes alive, they are winless in each of their three visits to the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos and we predict this trend will continue with the Gilistas holding out for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
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