Looking at past results between the sides, Pacos de Ferreira head into the game as firm favourite to come away with all three points. The Pacenses have lost just once at home this year and we predict they will maintain this fine run and come out victorious once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Tondela
48.01%	26.06%	25.92%

Both teams to score 49.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82%

54.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41%

75.59%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42%

22.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82%

56.18%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93%

36.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15%

72.85%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 48.01%

Tondela 25.92%

Draw 26.05%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.01%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.31% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.92%